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analysis-forecasting time series data of a marine natural park with high coral coverage

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grammaloreto/SeaSurfaceTemperature-SST-

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SeaSurfaceTemperature-SST-

First Part:

From Google Earth Engine (GEE) it was extracted the Sea Surface Temperature (SST) data from 11 points of Corales del Rosario National Park/Cartagena/Colombia. The data is basically a daily mean of 13 days from different years. In this case January 1-13 of 1985, 2000, and 2020. The maximum Sea Surface Temperature (SST) around the 11 points of the park raised 1.72 ºC from 1985 to 2020 (27.90 to 29.07 ºC). More dramatic is the SST mean comparision which shows hotter waters with a 1.95 ºC increase. These new configuration of temperatures affects corals (bleaching) and the diversity of species.

  • Data from Google Earth Engine (NOAA CDR OISST)

Second Part:

Forecasting time series temperatures with 2 methods:

  • LSTM (RNN)
  • Prophet additive model

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analysis-forecasting time series data of a marine natural park with high coral coverage

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