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Description

Globalization and increasing numbers of students increase the risk for epidemics on different scales. This semester project suggests an approach, based on Agent-Based-Modelling, to optimize classroom size relative to their cost to keep the infection rate low in universities.

Model Assumptions

  • After 7 days are all students recovered, regardless of  the timepoint of infection during the 7 days​
  • At first day of the week 10% of the students randomly infected  
  • Square Classroom dimension ->  Number of students per class must be a squared number
  • Students are distributed into classes randomly and the seating is random as well
  • Given student is infected in class n, virus can be infect other students in class n+1 and student infected in n will be home from class n+2 until new week starts 
  • No immunization after an infection​
  • Infections only in the classroom possible ​
  • Fixed Beta ​= 0.001

Research Question

-> What is the optimal classroom size too keep the attendance high and the costs low?

  • How does number of students per class affect the infections per week? Prediction: more students lead to more interactions causing higher infection rates

  • How does the distance between students affect the infections per week? Prediction: The smaller the distance between students the more infections per week